https://cmhlp.org/blogs/data-is-the-new-oil-but-not-when-it-comes-to-suicides-in-india/

Sonali Kumar & Soumitra Pathare

We understand now that there are links between suicide and social risk factors like poverty, exposure to domestic violence and abuse of alcohol.

[This blog post was first published as an article in The New Indian Express]

The alarming rise of suicides in India has not escaped national attention. Frenzied tabloids (reporting on celebrity suicides), regional newspapers and academic publications alike have tried to hold a mirror up to what is now a recognised public health crisis requiring a vast intersectoral response.

We know that suicide is the leading cause of death for young women in India, and India accounts for over a third of all female suicides globally. We hear about the burgeoning suicide rates amongst vulnerable groups such as farmers, students and the elderly. We understand now that there are strong associative links between suicide and social risk factors like poverty, exposure to domestic violence and abuse of alcohol. There is recognition that the loss of lives and livelihoods brought on by COVID-19 has deeply impacted the social fabric of the country, and it is not a far leap to assume that this contributed to the highest suicide rate in 2021 since NCRB began publishing this data in 1967.

In fact, the unmanageable pressures being placed on India’s institutional responses have led to the recent publication of a National Suicide Prevention Strategy by the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare in November 2022. Disconcertingly, though, what we do not often read, speak or hear about is the fact that the (soaring) rates of suicide in India are hugely underestimated. Let’s consider this systematically.

What are the reported rates of suicide in India?

In terms of prevalence, official data reported by the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) from 2021 estimated India's suicide rate to be 12, which means the country saw an average of 12 suicides per every 100,000 population (totalling approximately 1.65 lakh suicides in 2021). The reported rate varied greatly between states; from 39.2 in Sikkim to 0.7 in Bihar; although most states reported a rate higher than the national average of 12.

75% of those who died by suicide were men, and 66% of suicides occurred in younger people between 18 and 45 years old. The most commonly reported causes of suicide were family problems (33.2%) and 'illness' (18.6%), and daily wage earners consisted of 25% of individuals lost to suicide. 8% of all suicides were among students. More on these numbers here and here.

Although this data, as reported by the NCRB, does provide some insight into the particularities of suicide in India, these numbers alone only tell a small part of the story.

Where do we get these numbers from?

Despite the fact that attempting suicide is no longer punishable as a crime as per the Mental Healthcare Act (2017), suicide data is still collated by the National Crime Records Bureau in India. The reporting pathway for the NCRB is as follows: an unnatural death is typically reported to the local police, who will file an FIR and deem it a suicide after due investigation. Records of these FIRs are filed with the District Crime Records Bureau, which then collates and sends the FIRs to the State Crime Records Bureaus, who send this data to the National Crime Records Bureau. As one of the authors, Dr Soumitra Pathare, described in his recent book, Life Interrupted: Understanding India's Suicide Crisis, what we record as suicide "…ultimately boils down to what the constable at the local police station will record as suicide."

As one might expect, the decision-making process involved in recording (or not recording) a suicide is subject to the influences of social stigmas and fears around the phenomenon. Families will not divulge all the details surrounding the suicide of a loved one due to stigma and shame, or the misconception that suicide is still punishable by the law. In some cases, an individual is not eligible for life insurance if they die by suicide; or the circumstances of the death are not flagged as unnatural and missed entirely. One example is death by poisoning: although this is the second most common method of completing suicide in India (1 in 4 suicides), it may not be recorded as a suicide due to a lack of clarity around whether the person consumed the poison accidentally or intentionally.

Whereas at the scale of a single village, district or state, a few incorrectly recorded deaths may not seem impactful, research has estimated male suicides in India to be underreported by 27%, and female suicides by as much as 50%.

Suicides among women, in particular, tend to go unrecorded for a few reasons.

Firstly, the husband and in-laws of a woman who has died by suicide can be penalised under the Dowry Act, which may motivate the family to withhold information surrounding the death. Secondly, women (more than men) tend to turn to poison to attempt suicide, and as mentioned above, this method is highly prone to misclassification. Unlike hanging, for example, it is easier for the consumption of poison to be recorded as an accidental death (assuming the woman has consumed it thinking it is a medicine; “cough syrup” is a common misdirection).

The discrepancies add up significantly. In the ten-year period of 2005 to 2015, the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study estimated 8,02,684 additional total deaths by suicide in India when compared to NCRB figures. In 2016 alone, the GBD estimate was 75% higher than the NCRB tally (2,30,000 via GBD compared to 1,31,008 via NCRB). When applied to 2021 data, these figures suggest 338 unrecorded suicide deaths per day in India in 2021.